Is it education or economic security that influences secularisation?
Two Dutch sociologists are countering the European theory that a rising level of education empties out churches. Frank van Tubergen and Stijn Ruiter compared ‘religious participation’ in 60 countries and found that economic security makes people turn away from religious congregations, as does the regulation of religion by the state.
Their study, to be published in the American Journal of Sociology next month, invalidates the assumption that modernisation leads to secularisation. In an interview with NRC Handelsblad the sociologists offered three examples of their new theory.
In Eastern Europe churches have filled up over the past 20 years. Ruiter and Van Tubergen attribute this to the end of state restrictions on religion after the fall of communism and the economic uncertainty that came with the transition to a capitalist system.
In the US, the a-typical country where people have remained very religious despite economic development, the sociologists say other researchers have not taken into account the uncertainties resulting from the high socio-economic inequality. “In the US you can quickly climb the social ladder, but you can fall off very hard,” Ruiter explained.
Van Tubergen: “Conversely, the link between religiosity and uncertainty explains why the churches in the Netherlands have emptied out. As a result of the welfare state great security can be found outside the walls of the church. It would be interesting to examine the impact of the current economic crisis on church attendance.”
What do you think of the Dutch sociologists’ theory? Have you seen this in the country where you live? And what will the impact of the recession be on congregations?



